Fortaleza EC vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 1
FOR
24%
27%
49%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 1
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 3
BOT
56%
25%
20%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 1
FOR
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
COR
41%
29%
30%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 2
FLU
57%
23%
20%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAO
60%
21%
19%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
GOI
1 - 1
FLA
15%
21%
64%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 1
VEL
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 1
CEA
68%
20%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |