Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 0-3
Fortaleza EC vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
CEA
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
0 - 0
FOR
80%
13%
6%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 2
FOR
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
FOR
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 2
GUA
77%
15%
9%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 2
BOT
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
0 - 0
FOR
80%
13%
6%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BOT
2 - 2
FLA
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
FLU
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |