Fortaleza EC vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAN
27%
24%
50%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
SAO
0 - 0
FOR
56%
26%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 1
FOR
76%
16%
9%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
FOR
2 - 3
BOT
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
GRE
4 - 1
FOR
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
BOT
0 - 2
FLA
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
FLA
1 - 2
SCI
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 0
FLA
41%
28%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAO
25%
25%
51%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 2
FLA
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |