Fortaleza EC vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
SCI
1 - 1
FOR
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
FOR
1 - 2
CRZ
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
CRI
2 - 2
FOR
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 1
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
FOR
1 - 1
FFL
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
FLA
3 - 2
ATM
35%
25%
39%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 2
FLA
39%
25%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
FLA
2 - 1
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
FFL
0 - 0
FLA
42%
24%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
FLA
2 - 0
PAY
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |