Fortaleza EC vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
FER
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FER
2 - 0
FOR
16%
22%
62%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 0
TIR
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
BAH
2 - 0
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
TIR
2 - 3
FOR
18%
23%
60%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
FER
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FER
2 - 0
FOR
16%
22%
62%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
HOR
1 - 1
FER
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FER
1 - 1
HOR
34%
24%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
HOR
1 - 0
FER
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |