Fortaleza EC vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 2
FOR
13%
19%
68%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
TIR
2 - 3
FOR
19%
23%
59%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
FOR
18%
23%
59%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 2
QUI
80%
14%
7%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 2
FOR
33%
26%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
FER
5 - 0
GUA
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 0
FER
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ICA
3 - 2
FER
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 1
FER
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
FER
49%
26%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |