Fortaleza EC vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
0 - 2
FOR
27%
26%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 0
FOR
31%
26%
44%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAM
68%
19%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
FOR
40%
26%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 3
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
FER
2 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 2
FER
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
FER
7 - 2
SAO
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TIR
1 - 0
FER
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FER
5 - 0
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |