Fortaleza EC vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 0
CRA
80%
13%
7%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
TRA
3 - 3
FOR
16%
21%
63%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
ICA
1 - 2
FOR
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CEA
1 - 2
FOR
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
GUA
70%
18%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
FER
0 - 1
CRA
39%
25%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 2
FER
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
FER
0 - 1
ICA
18%
22%
61%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
FER
3 - 2
TRA
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
FER
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +1 |