Fortaleza EC vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
10%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 3
FLA
20%
24%
57%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 4
FOR
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 1
TIR
75%
16%
10%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 0
GUA
75%
16%
10%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
4 - 1
FAS
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
QUI
53%
23%
25%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
CRA
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FER
2 - 5
HOR
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
ICA
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FER
0 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |