Fortaleza EC vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FOR
4 - 2
FLU
35%
26%
38%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 2
FOR
9%
21%
70%
|
85 | 44 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
COT
0 - 3
FOR
26%
27%
48%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 2
FOR
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
SCI
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
POR
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
UCV
3 - 2
EST
19%
25%
57%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 0
EST
64%
19%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
EST
0 - 2
MET
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CFC
2 - 2
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |