Fortaleza EC vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
FOR
13%
21%
66%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
4 - 2
BAR
87%
11%
3%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 1
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
FOR
14%
22%
65%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
IMP
1 - 2
FOR
12%
21%
67%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CSA
4 - 0
COR
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MUR
1 - 0
CSA
10%
19%
71%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
CSA
0 - 2
BAH
21%
26%
54%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CSA
0 - 1
BOT
42%
26%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
CSA
1 - 1
CSE
80%
15%
5%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |