Copa do Nordeste Final
Global 2-2
Fortaleza EC vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
ATP
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
SPT
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 4
FOR
38%
26%
36%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
VAS
3 - 3
FOR
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 1
FOR
29%
27%
43%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PPE
4 - 2
CRB
31%
29%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 0
CRB
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
CEA
0 - 1
CRB
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CRB
1 - 0
VIL
45%
28%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
AVA
2 - 1
CRB
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |