Fortaleza EC vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 3
FOR
23%
23%
54%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
FOR
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 3
HOR
64%
19%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
FOR
29%
24%
46%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CEA
0 - 1
FOR
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ICA
4 - 3
CRA
74%
17%
10%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 3
GUA
31%
25%
45%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 2
ITA
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
4 - 2
LIM
54%
23%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
4 - 0
CRA
78%
16%
6%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | -1 |