Fortaleza EC vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 4
GUA
70%
17%
13%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
LIM
2 - 0
FOR
20%
22%
58%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
FOR
4 - 4
GUA
72%
16%
12%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 2
TIG
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FER
1 - 2
FOR
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
3 - 1
GUA
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CRA
3 - 2
BOV
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
CRA
3 - 1
QUI
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
FER
1 - 0
CRA
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 0
CRA
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |