Fortaleza EC vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 0
FOR
10%
19%
71%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 2
BAH
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
FER
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
FOR
11%
19%
70%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
FOR
7%
17%
76%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
CON
1 - 4
LAG
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CON
4 - 0
BOC
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
AFP
0 - 1
CON
8%
15%
77%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ALT
0 - 1
CON
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
CON
16%
21%
63%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |