Fortaleza EC vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
14%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
CSA
1 - 0
FOR
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 0
SAM
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
CUI
2 - 2
FOR
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 0
ASA
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SAL
1 - 2
FOR
38%
30%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
BOT
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
CSA
1 - 1
CON
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
CON
2 - 2
SAM
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
REM
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
MOT
4 - 0
CON
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -1 |