Fortaleza EC vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 1
FOR
19%
24%
57%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 0
FOR
67%
20%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
SPO
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 0
SOU
75%
16%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
FOR
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CON
0 - 0
SPO
15%
22%
63%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
CON
2 - 2
SOU
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 1
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 1
CON
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
FOR
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | +2 |