Fortaleza EC vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 1
RIV
89%
9%
2%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CRB
1 - 0
FOR
19%
25%
56%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
FOR
10%
21%
68%
|
90 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
ARN
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 1
IGU
88%
10%
3%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
NAU
0 - 0
CEA
18%
25%
57%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CEA
1 - 1
ALT
81%
14%
5%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
CEA
5 - 0
CAU
92%
7%
2%
|
85 | 45 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SDJ
0 - 1
CEA
11%
23%
66%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
CEA
6 - 0
UNI
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |