Cearense 1 Etapas Finales Final
Global 4-3
Fortaleza EC vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 3
CEA
51%
25%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
4 - 0
FER
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 4
FOR
14%
23%
63%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
4 - 0
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 1
FOR
31%
27%
41%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 3
CEA
51%
25%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CEA
3 - 1
SER
80%
14%
5%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
CEA
3 - 1
ALA
85%
12%
4%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CEA
2 - 0
IGU
86%
11%
3%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
ITU
1 - 1
CEA
27%
27%
45%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |