Cearense 1 Final
Global 3-1
Fortaleza EC vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 0
PAL
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 3
SAO
39%
27%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
COT
0 - 0
FOR
31%
29%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 1
ATM
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 0
ATL
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FLU
2 - 2
CEA
52%
26%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 1
COR
34%
29%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
ATP
0 - 0
CEA
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 1
CEA
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 2
FOR
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |