Cearense 1 Final
Global 2-4
Fortaleza EC vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
CEA
2 - 1
FOR
66%
20%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
FLO
1 - 3
FOR
17%
20%
63%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 1
FLO
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 1
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
FLO
1 - 0
FOR
15%
19%
65%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
CEA
2 - 1
FOR
66%
20%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CEA
0 - 1
UNI
85%
12%
3%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
CEA
6 - 0
SAL
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 6
CEA
9%
17%
74%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
CEA
2 - 0
FLO
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |