Fortaleza EC vs Cariri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
95.8%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
3.5%
8-1
0.2%
+7
3.7%
6-0
7%
7-1
0.4%
+6
7.4%
5-0
12%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
12.7%
4-0
17.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
18.3%
3-0
19.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
21.2%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.1%
+1
11.2%
3.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
1%
2-2
0.1%
0
3.7%
0.3%
Win probability
0.1
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.1%
-1
0.3%
0-2
0%
-2
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
HOR
1 - 3
FOR
7%
18%
76%
|
88 | 45 | 43 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
FOR
2 - 0
MOT
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 46 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CFS
0 - 1
FOR
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
MIA
0 - 7
FOR
6%
17%
77%
|
88 | 42 | 46 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
SCI
51%
26%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cariri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
3 - 1
CFS
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GPM
3 - 0
CFS
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ICA
0 - 0
CFS
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
CFS
2 - 1
ICA
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +3 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CFS
1 - 1
GUA
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |