Fortaleza EC vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
5 - 0
ALT
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
CRZ
59%
23%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
5 - 0
NAC
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CEA
1 - 1
FOR
35%
26%
39%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 3
BOC
59%
23%
18%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 0
GOD
44%
26%
30%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
BOC
49%
27%
24%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 0
SPT
65%
21%
14%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NOB
1 - 3
BOC
37%
30%
33%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |