Fortaleza EC vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
GRE
4 - 1
FOR
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
FOR
4 - 1
JUV
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
PPE
1 - 3
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 2
SCI
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
FOR
0 - 0
PAL
31%
24%
45%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 0
CRZ
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
COR
1 - 0
BOT
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
GOI
2 - 2
BOT
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 3
PAL
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAO
24%
24%
52%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |