Fortaleza EC vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
ICA
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 1
FOR
64%
20%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 5
FOR
12%
20%
69%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 0
QUI
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
HOR
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 1
BOT
16%
23%
61%
|
56 | 16 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
RIV
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
MIR
84%
11%
4%
|
56 | 11 | 45 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
FOR
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |