Fortaleza EC vs Boa Viagem EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
TIG
2 - 2
FOR
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 2
FER
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
FOR
23%
23%
54%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CEA
0 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 0
HOR
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Boa Viagem EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BOV
1 - 1
MAR
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
BOV
1 - 2
ITA
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
2 - 1
BOV
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
BOV
3 - 2
CEA
15%
21%
65%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOV
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |