Cearense 1 Semi-finals
Global 6-2
Fortaleza EC vs Boa Viagem EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
BOV
0 - 3
FOR
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
HOR
1 - 1
FOR
23%
23%
54%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 2
MAR
79%
14%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 4
FOR
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
FER
1 - 3
FOR
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Boa Viagem EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
BOV
0 - 3
FOR
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BOV
4 - 2
GUA
35%
25%
41%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
FER
2 - 2
BOV
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 2
BOV
61%
21%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 0
BOV
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |