Fortaleza EC vs Barbalha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
18.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.6%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.7%
2.7%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 1
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
FOR
14%
22%
65%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
IMP
1 - 2
FOR
12%
21%
67%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
FOR
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Barbalha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
UNI
3 - 0
BAR
53%
23%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
FER
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 3
OPE
17%
24%
60%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAU
60%
21%
20%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
PAC
3 - 2
BAR
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |