Fortaleza EC vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
44%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEA
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 0
SPO
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 1
ARN
85%
12%
4%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 0
GUA
87%
11%
3%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 2
FOR
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
COT
1 - 2
ATP
26%
27%
47%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
ATP
1 - 0
COT
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 0
ATP
10%
22%
69%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
ATP
5 - 1
CAS
81%
14%
5%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
ATP
5 - 0
LON
79%
15%
6%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |