Fortaleza EC vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.6%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.7%
3.7%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 0
GUA
87%
11%
3%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 2
FOR
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 5
FOR
7%
17%
76%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
NAU
0 - 3
FOR
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 0
PAC
89%
9%
2%
|
76 | 36 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
ARN
0 - 2
BAH
12%
22%
67%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
JUV
1 - 1
ARN
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 0
ARN
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
ASS
1 - 1
ARN
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 4
ARN
19%
25%
57%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |