Fortaleza EC vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
CRB
1 - 0
FOR
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ICA
3 - 2
FOR
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
CRA
79%
14%
8%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 3
FOR
23%
23%
54%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
FOR
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
PAL
0 - 2
ARN
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ARN
5 - 0
POT
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
COR
1 - 0
ARN
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ARN
1 - 0
SAN
55%
23%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ARN
4 - 0
ALE
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |