Fortaleza EC vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 2
FOR
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
CON
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ARN
0 - 0
FOR
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
4 - 2
SAL
68%
21%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 0
FOR
32%
28%
41%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AGU
3 - 1
CUI
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
AGU
3 - 2
ICA
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 0
AGU
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
AGU
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 2
CON
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |