Fortaleza EC vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
CEA
1 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
FOR
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 0
CEA
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 2
GRE
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
HOR
62%
20%
19%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
REM
2 - 0
AGU
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 1
REM
40%
25%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PAY
1 - 1
AGU
69%
18%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 1
PAY
33%
24%
43%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
IAC
1 - 1
AGU
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |