Fortaleza EC vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
CRB
0 - 1
FOR
37%
25%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 1
TRE
58%
22%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
NAU
4 - 1
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 2
CEA
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
SER
2 - 1
FOR
19%
22%
59%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
PAY
3 - 1
AGU
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
AGU
1 - 0
PAY
35%
24%
41%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
AGU
2 - 1
REM
38%
24%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
REM
2 - 0
AGU
49%
22%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
AGU
2 - 0
CAM
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |