Fortaleza EC vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
FOR
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
FOR
4 - 0
PAR
55%
23%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 0
FOR
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 2
VIL
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
PPE
1 - 1
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
POR
1 - 2
VIL
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
CAM
3 - 3
POR
18%
25%
57%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
POR
1 - 3
VAS
32%
26%
43%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
DUQ
2 - 1
POR
23%
29%
48%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
JUV
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |