Forres Mechanics vs Turriff United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
16º
12º
30
5º
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 83 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 81 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 72 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 68 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 61 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 59 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 58 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 56 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 54 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 44 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 43 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 42 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 41 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
61% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 26 |
15º
|
56.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 23 |
16º
|
47% | |
|
17º
|
10 | 18 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 14 |
18º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CLA
4 - 2
FOR
49%
21%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 2
BRE
9%
18%
74%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 2
FOR
88%
9%
3%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 3
DEV
62%
19%
19%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 2
JSW
21%
18%
61%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Turriff United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
TUR
4 - 0
STR
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ROT
3 - 2
TUR
17%
18%
65%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 1
TUR
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 3
BAN
12%
19%
70%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CLA
3 - 1
TUR
40%
22%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |