Forres Mechanics vs Strathspey Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
7.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+121%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
16º
12º
9
17º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 83 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 81 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 72 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 68 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 61 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 59 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 58 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 56 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 54 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 44 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 43 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 42 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 41 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
61% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 26 |
15º
|
56.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 23 |
16º
|
47% | |
|
17º
|
10 | 18 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
9 | 14 |
18º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 32.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 67.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BRO
3 - 1
FOR
88%
9%
4%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 6
TUR
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CLA
4 - 2
FOR
49%
21%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 2
BRE
9%
18%
74%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 2
FOR
88%
9%
3%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Strathspey Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
STR
0 - 3
DEV
15%
17%
68%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
TUR
4 - 0
STR
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
STR
2 - 2
FRA
4%
11%
85%
|
12 | 56 | 44 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ROT
0 - 6
STR
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | +3 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
STR
0 - 4
INV
10%
16%
75%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | -1 |