Forres Mechanics vs Strathspey Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
3.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+167%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
11º
10
16º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
LOS
0 - 0
FOR
21%
20%
59%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
LOS
73%
16%
12%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
INV
23%
20%
57%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 4
NAI
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 1
FOR
86%
10%
4%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Strathspey Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
STR
0 - 7
ROT
7%
13%
80%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DEV
7 - 0
STR
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
STR
0 - 2
FOR
7%
14%
79%
|
12 | 44 | 32 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
STR
0 - 7
BAN
8%
13%
80%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
CLA
0 - 2
STR
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | +2 |