Cup 1/32
Global 3-5
Forres Mechanics vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 4
TUR
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
HUN
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LOS
1 - 2
FOR
20%
21%
59%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
4 - 0
CUM
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +5 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CUM
2 - 2
FOR
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
STR
3 - 1
STE
70%
18%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ALL
4 - 1
STE
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
QUE
0 - 3
STE
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
STE
1 - 3
BRE
23%
23%
54%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
STE
0 - 5
STR
26%
25%
50%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |