Forres Mechanics vs Nairn County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
11º
43
8º
17º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 1
FOR
86%
10%
4%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
FRA
7%
13%
80%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 0
FOR
86%
10%
4%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BRO
4 - 1
FOR
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
4 - 1
DEV
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Nairn County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NAI
2 - 1
TUR
59%
19%
22%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
NAI
3 - 0
WIC
48%
22%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KEI
1 - 1
NAI
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NAI
4 - 2
STR
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NAI
0 - 4
BRO
6%
12%
82%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -2 |