Forres Mechanics vs Formartine United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
72.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
11º
71
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HUN
2 - 1
FOR
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
WIC
1 - 1
FOR
25%
22%
54%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
CLA
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ROT
2 - 1
FOR
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 2
BAN
19%
18%
62%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Formartine United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
ROT
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
BRE
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 3
FOR
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
4 - 0
CLA
86%
9%
5%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 4
FOR
14%
18%
68%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |