Forres Mechanics vs Formartine United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
6 - 2
ROT
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 3
NAI
47%
23%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 4
KEI
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BUC
2 - 0
FOR
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -3 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 2
COV
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Formartine United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 0
COV
44%
23%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
LOS
2 - 2
FOR
10%
16%
74%
|
45 | 15 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
WIC
1 - 2
FOR
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ROT
2 - 2
FOR
14%
17%
69%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 3
NAI
61%
20%
19%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |