Cup 1/64
Global 3-4
Forres Mechanics vs East Kilbride analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
36.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
EAS
1 - 1
FOR
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BRO
6 - 0
FOR
79%
14%
8%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
KEI
85%
11%
5%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
BUC
2 - 6
FOR
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
ROT
90%
7%
3%
|
36 | 6 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
East Kilbride
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
EAS
1 - 1
FOR
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
PRE
2 - 0
EAS
11%
17%
72%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | -3 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CUM
1 - 1
EAS
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 4
EAS
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
EAS
1 - 2
EDI
43%
24%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |