Forres Mechanics vs Brora Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.2%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
80.2%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
11º
77
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
8 - 1
STR
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
LOS
0 - 0
FOR
21%
20%
59%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
LOS
73%
16%
12%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
INV
23%
20%
57%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 4
NAI
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Brora Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BRO
6 - 1
KEI
90%
8%
3%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BRO
4 - 2
CLA
89%
8%
3%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HUN
1 - 3
BRO
5%
11%
84%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BRO
5 - 2
INV
72%
17%
12%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BRO
4 - 1
FOR
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |