Forres Mechanics vs Banks O' Dee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
62.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
11º
36
6º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CLA
2 - 0
FOR
30%
22%
48%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 2
TUR
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 8
BRO
7%
13%
80%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
8 - 1
STR
87%
9%
4%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
LOS
0 - 0
FOR
21%
20%
59%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Banks O' Dee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 0
ROT
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BAN
6 - 0
WIC
85%
10%
6%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 0
TUR
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
NAI
3 - 0
BAN
20%
19%
62%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -3 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 4
BRE
21%
22%
58%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |