Fornos de Algodres vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
80.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fornos de Algodres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
6 - 0
FAL
89%
9%
3%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
UDL
4 - 0
FAL
89%
9%
3%
|
11 | 54 | 43 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 3
OLE
9%
15%
76%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FAV
2 - 1
FAL
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FAL
0 - 5
ADN
9%
15%
76%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BEN
0 - 1
OLE
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FAV
0 - 4
BEN
9%
15%
76%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
BEN
3 - 0
ADN
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ADM
4 - 2
BEN
14%
23%
63%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 2
LUS
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |