Fornos de Algodres vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
74.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fornos de Algodres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 3
SER
8%
14%
78%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
RDA
1 - 1
FAL
88%
9%
3%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FAL
0 - 5
ANA
7%
14%
79%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 1
FAL
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 3
MAR
13%
18%
69%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
OLE
0 - 1
MOR
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 2
FAV
83%
12%
6%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ADN
1 - 2
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
ADM
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 0
MOR
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |