Fornos de Algodres vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
76.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fornos de Algodres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ADM
0 - 0
FAL
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
FAL
0 - 2
LUS
9%
17%
73%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
GAF
2 - 1
FAL
87%
10%
3%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 3
MOR
10%
16%
74%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 3
SER
8%
14%
78%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ADN
1 - 0
OLE
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
FAV
2 - 1
ADN
13%
17%
70%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
UDL
6 - 1
ADN
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ADN
2 - 1
ADM
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ADN
1 - 1
LUS
26%
28%
46%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |