Formosa vs Volta Redonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAO
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
SEC
0 - 0
FOR
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
0 - 0
FOR
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
5 - 2
CFZ
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Volta Redonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
VOL
1 - 0
SEC
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
VOL
0 - 1
VIL
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 0
VOL
49%
25%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAB
1 - 2
VOL
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
VOL
0 - 0
OLA
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |