Formartine United vs Wick Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.7%
3.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
6º
4º
25
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formartine United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
TUR
89%
8%
3%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
FOR
10%
18%
72%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
ROT
70%
17%
13%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
BRE
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 3
FOR
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Wick Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
WIC
0 - 6
FRA
3%
10%
87%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
WIC
1 - 1
FOR
25%
22%
54%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
WIC
1 - 7
BRO
3%
9%
88%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
WIC
1 - 2
NAI
17%
19%
63%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ROT
2 - 2
WIC
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |